Pre-tourney Rankings
Holy Cross
Patriot League
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#286
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#268
Pace61.5#338
Improvement+1.7#109

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#306
First Shot-2.2#242
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#337
Layup/Dunks-0.4#191
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#70
Freethrows-0.7#226
Improvement-0.7#217

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#245
First Shot-2.0#236
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#247
Layups/Dunks-2.6#286
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#25
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#287
Freethrows+0.5#139
Improvement+2.3#59
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four100.0% n/a n/a
First Round41.2% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 300   @ Marist W 67-64 43%     1 - 0 -3.3 -8.5 +5.4
  Nov 16, 2015 266   @ Brown L 55-71 33%     1 - 1 -19.5 -21.9 +2.5
  Nov 19, 2015 243   New Hampshire L 69-73 49%     1 - 2 -11.7 +3.3 -15.6
  Nov 22, 2015 288   @ Quinnipiac L 56-62 40%     1 - 3 -11.3 -3.4 -9.0
  Nov 25, 2015 298   Sacred Heart W 69-60 65%     2 - 3 -2.8 -4.0 +2.0
  Nov 29, 2015 172   Harvard W 50-49 34%     3 - 3 -2.6 -14.8 +12.3
  Dec 02, 2015 90   @ Rhode Island L 56-74 6%     3 - 4 -8.8 -11.8 +3.1
  Dec 05, 2015 131   Albany L 84-88 OT 24%     3 - 5 -4.6 +7.7 -12.1
  Dec 09, 2015 1   @ Kansas L 59-92 1%     3 - 6 -8.8 +1.2 -12.2
  Dec 12, 2015 320   @ Hartford W 90-68 51%     4 - 6 +13.8 +10.1 +3.5
  Dec 21, 2015 336   Maine W 76-75 79%     5 - 6 -15.4 -16.8 +1.3
  Dec 30, 2015 247   Boston University W 80-64 49%     6 - 6 1 - 0 +8.2 +7.8 +1.4
  Jan 02, 2016 212   @ Navy L 60-65 23%     6 - 7 1 - 1 -5.3 +0.0 -6.2
  Jan 06, 2016 256   Colgate W 65-63 53%     7 - 7 2 - 1 -6.8 -11.1 +4.5
  Jan 09, 2016 171   @ Bucknell L 71-98 17%     7 - 8 2 - 2 -24.7 -7.9 -14.2
  Jan 13, 2016 324   @ Lafayette L 52-65 52%     7 - 9 2 - 3 -21.6 -26.7 +4.9
  Jan 16, 2016 193   Lehigh L 66-87 38%     7 - 10 2 - 4 -25.9 -7.0 -19.8
  Jan 20, 2016 251   Army W 69-65 52%     8 - 10 3 - 4 -4.4 -6.8 +2.5
  Jan 24, 2016 256   @ Colgate L 61-76 31%     8 - 11 3 - 5 -17.9 -6.4 -13.8
  Jan 27, 2016 294   Loyola Maryland L 54-71 64%     8 - 12 3 - 6 -28.7 -23.5 -6.1
  Jan 30, 2016 212   Navy W 87-80 OT 43%     9 - 12 4 - 6 +0.8 +7.1 -6.8
  Feb 01, 2016 311   @ American L 45-58 47%     9 - 13 4 - 7 -20.1 -19.5 -3.0
  Feb 06, 2016 171   Bucknell L 52-77 33%     9 - 14 4 - 8 -28.6 -17.9 -13.1
  Feb 10, 2016 324   Lafayette W 67-53 73%     10 - 14 5 - 8 -0.4 -8.2 +9.3
  Feb 15, 2016 193   @ Lehigh L 59-64 20%     10 - 15 5 - 9 -4.1 -11.4 +7.1
  Feb 17, 2016 251   @ Army L 68-72 30%     10 - 16 5 - 10 -6.5 -2.9 -3.8
  Feb 21, 2016 311   American L 70-71 OT 68%     10 - 17 5 - 11 -13.9 -8.7 -5.2
  Feb 24, 2016 294   @ Loyola Maryland L 63-78 42%     10 - 18 5 - 12 -20.9 -12.3 -9.1
  Feb 27, 2016 247   @ Boston University L 68-83 28%     10 - 19 5 - 13 -17.0 -1.8 -16.1
  Mar 01, 2016 294   @ Loyola Maryland W 72-67 42%     11 - 19 -0.9 +3.7 -3.9
  Mar 03, 2016 171   @ Bucknell W 77-72 2OT 17%     12 - 19 +7.3 -1.0 +7.9
  Mar 06, 2016 251   @ Army W 60-38 30%     13 - 19 +19.5 -7.1 +28.8
  Mar 09, 2016 193   @ Lehigh W 59-56 20%     14 - 19 +3.9 +0.7 +4.0
Projected Record 14.0 - 19.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0